Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.805611 2.999004 3.205598 3.443845 3.712447 4.007615 4.358885
2026-01-25 2.764630 3.075144 3.429943 3.871007 4.412922 5.068704 5.941594
2026-02-01 2.474223 2.806339 3.198824 3.706262 4.359832 5.196183 6.389420
2026-02-08 2.244442 2.579898 2.985680 3.525117 4.244242 5.204207 6.651110
2026-02-15 2.117639 2.465204 2.895145 3.482497 4.293030 5.423382 7.230979
2026-02-22 1.996297 2.346786 2.787956 3.403799 4.277763 5.541769 7.669408
2026-03-01 1.875985 2.221406 2.661882 3.286888 4.193175 5.542079 7.909397
2026-03-08 1.758432 2.093061 2.523788 3.142270 4.053455 5.439156 7.950474
2026-03-15 1.704364 2.044584 2.488727 3.138137 4.118664 5.661247 8.606541
2026-03-22 1.651056 1.994058 2.447372 3.120870 4.160396 5.847440 9.232168
2026-03-29 1.599430 1.943156 2.402362 3.094375 4.183893 6.003406 9.830245
2026-04-05 1.566669 1.916089 2.388659 3.112508 4.278780 6.293904 10.786083
2026-04-12 1.536810 1.896612 2.391418 3.166579 4.456815 6.798826 12.503985
2026-04-19 1.595983 2.004610 2.585366 3.537487 5.233783 8.666733 19.059641
2026-04-26 1.512528 1.905447 2.467021 3.394994 5.068473 8.524729 19.463785
2026-05-03 1.431380 1.806486 2.344441 3.237696 4.860680 8.255383 19.309529
2026-05-10 1.386495 1.758163 2.296008 3.200586 4.877353 8.507200 21.312595
2026-05-17 1.337079 1.701247 2.231641 3.131961 4.825370 8.586265 22.711701
2026-05-24 1.282697 1.635192 2.150472 3.029767 4.697611 8.457572 23.125401
2026-05-31 1.225385 1.563188 2.057628 2.902939 4.511115 8.155992 22.572333
2026-06-07 1.200402 1.538096 2.036573 2.899307 4.573430 8.506527 25.634728
2026-06-14 1.174235 1.510296 2.009995 2.884132 4.610226 8.798969 28.812668
2026-06-21 1.147711 1.481073 1.979930 2.860833 4.627492 9.042766 32.119645